Having worked in and closely watched Asia for a decade, McCafferty notes that the way investors see the dynamics of the regional economy is changing. “In the past, there were two visions when people looked at APAC: One was Japan, and another was Asia ex-Japan.” He explains that this was because Japan stood out as an advanced economy amid a mix of emerging nations at various stages of development.
Times have changed. More Asian countries are making their marks on the world economy. “A lot of the investors who previously thought of Japan and ex-Japan as two different asset classes are getting to view them together,” McCafferty says.
This does not mean Japan’s relevance has decreased. On the contrary, he says understanding Japan’s business structure and development is becoming ever more essential.
“We think that, ultimately, Japan can be used as a benchmark and a guideline to form how industries will develop in other Asian countries.”
Therefore, McCafferty says his team endeavors to help investors see Japan in the context of Asia as a whole, and to bridge Japan and Asia ex-Japan, which have long been disconnected in investors’ eyes. Integrating the two is not only a challenge for Nomura but for the overall financial industry, in his view. Yet, even though accurate information on Japan is vital, he thinks the international media is not providing enough of it. If anything, he says, Western news organizations seem to be shifting away from Japan.
“If you think about Japan in the 1980s, when the nation was 40% of the world market capitalization, there was so much Japan coverage.” However, once the nation entered a period now known as the lost decades, the media began turning to hotter stories. During “those lost decades, less and less resources were dedicated to Japan,” he recalls, noting how Western media scaled down their operations in the country. The Nikkei Asian Review has filled the gap, McCafferty says, providing “the best source” of insights on how Japan and the rest of Asia fit together.